You know everything is so predictable these days? What if they weren’t? That would be surprising would it not? Predictable was that the Republican-led Congress would behave just as it has before: The strategy is to blame everything wrong on Obama while failing to accomplish most everything. They will pass the budget because most of the incumbents have never worked for any other entity than government and politics. They are motivated by the necessity to keep their own cash flow humming.
Reince Priebus has shifted the blame strategy from Obama to Hillary Clinton. Blaming everything that is wrong on the opposition whether it makes sense or not works very well on stupid American voters. How many are that stupid? Probably 35%, so that’s a good start toward achieving political victory.
Let’s take a shot at some possible surprises:
- Hillary Clinton will not run for President because she is too tired and has other priorities.
- Jeb Bush will announce that he will run for President, but a majority of the GOP will wish he would go away.
- Carly Fiorina’s hints at running will smoke out Meg Whitman as she is the best possible GOP candidate.
- Joe Biden will step up to run, but the majority of Democrats will wish he would go away.
- Elizabeth Warren will announce that she is a member of the communist party and Obama will admit that he is the first American president to have been born in Kenya.
See the annotated list.
1. Hillary Clinton will not run for President because she is too tired and has other priorities.
According to a report last week in the Washington Post, the probability is 30-40% that Hillary Clinton will stand down from running for President.
Candy Crowley, who was fired from CNN last week, said that Hillary won’t run if she perceives the risk of losing being too great. Hillary doesn’t enjoy being dusted up by Republican adversaries as she was over Benghazi. She never escaped from Benghazi and it will haunt her if she elects to run. She will have to face the rehash of her time with Bill when he was messing around with an intern too. Why would she want to do that instead of focusing on her daughter and granddaughter?
RealClearPolitics just says that Hillary can’t distance herself from her record that includes Barack Obama.
2. Jeb Bush will announce that he will run for President, but a majority of the GOP will wish he would go away.
Jeb’s brother, George, believes that Jeb will run against his “sister in law” Hillary Clinton. That’ funny. Jeb’s mom doesn’t want him too. Why would Jeb do it? The answer is that he is not smart enough not too. Jeb Bush is probably one of the dimmest bulbs among the crop of candidates. What makes him successful? He has a good team around him. He is a delegator and a collaborator. He is as close to Joe the plumber that America has seen. Americans are stupid, remember.
3. Carly Fiorina’s hints at running will smoke out Meg Whitman as she is the best possible GOP candidate.
Good grief if Carly Fiorina is going to run for president, why would not Meg Whitman want to do it? Meg Whitman is equal to and greater in credentials, and far greater in personal achievement. Meg Whitman is a proven CEO of a Fortune 500 company, more than one. Meg Whitman made eBay a success. She is a hands-on executive who produces results.
4. Joe Biden will step up to run, but the majority of Democrats will wish he would go away.
The National Journal says that if Hillary doesn’t run, Joe Biden leads the pack. if the Democrat Party has nothing more than Joe Biden to show to American voters, the party is dust in 2016. Hope will have been eradicated completely by such a joke. It isn’t that he doesn’t have brains and experience, it is that he has spent too much time scrambling the mixture.
5. Elizabeth Warren will announce that she is a member of the communist party and Obama will admit that he is the first American president to have been born in Kenya.
Is Elizabeth Warren to Ted Cruz as Hillary Clinton is to Jeb Bush?
“Elizabeth Warren Would Be the Most Liberal Democratic Nominee Since 1972
6:32 AMJUL 21 By HARRY ENTEN
Elizabeth Warren probably isn’t going to run for or win the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, but that hasn’t stopped progressives from trying to get her to run. And it’s no wonder: Warren would be among the most liberal presidential candidates — if not the most liberal — in the modern era (since 1972, when Democrats began selecting their nominee through the caucus and primary process).
Quantifying the ideology of politicians is tricky, but we’ll use a method similar to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential forecasting model by looking at each nominee’s congressional voting record, fundraising and public statements (Adam Bonica’s ideological scores based on a candidate’s donors, joint DW-Nominate scores based on a candidate’s voting record in Congress, and On the Issues scores based on public statements).
In all cases, negative scores mean more liberal. We usually standardize and average these three metrics, but there aren’t scores for all the candidates before 2000 and comparing across time can be tricky. So let’s keep this simple and just look at each metric separately.