Forecast discussion: After a day of sunshine, an Arctic cold front began to make its way into Southern New England Friday afternoon. The front helped to trigger some snow squalls, especially in Worcester County. Looking at the last few radar images, it appears the squalls have now made their way out of eastern Massachusetts, with a few squalls over Cape Cod. The snowfall will come to an end within the next few hours. However, the front will now create strong wind gusts, as well as usher in some very cold air for tonight.
Once again, this is not a night to be out for long periods of time. Temperatures will fall into the single digits, and any wind gusts will create wind chill temperatures near 10 below zero. We will not see much relief on Saturday, despite bright sunshine. High temperatures will struggle to reach the lower 20’s. However, as we head into Saturday night, a low pressure system forming over South Dakota will bring advancing cloud cover. The cloud cover will help keep our overnight lows early Sunday morning in the upper teens.
I have been talking about a developing low out of North Carolina for Sunday for the last few days. Now, all the computer models are coming into agreement. The low will help bring some showers to Providence by the early afternoon, with moderate rain before sunset. The good news is the temperatures will be extremely mild, as highs will reach the lower to middle 40’s. So, for the Patriots game, it will be quite wet as the game moves into the second half. The rain will continue into Monday morning, before dissipating as showers as we wake up. The holiday will not be a total lost, as I am expecting dry weather and partial sunshine for the afternoon.
As we move into Tuesday, colder air returns, as our high temperatures once again fall below freezing. A fast moving clipper system will help bring some snow showers, starting late Tuesday afternoon. The computer models all agree that the low will stay to the south of Southern New England. This means we will see light precipitation, so I am not expecting any significant snowfall totals. We will see scattered snow showers until the low moves out into the Atlantic until late Wednesday afternoon.
High pressure ridging will bring dry weather for the rest of the forecast period with temperatures slightly above freezing for high temperatures. I will still be watching the long range models, as there is the slight chance for a significant storm for next Friday. In today’s model run, the low moved well away from Southern New England. However, the computer models can flip-flop their solutions as we move closer to the real time.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Snow squalls end by 5 p.m. Clear skies for everyone by 10 p.m. It will become bitterly cold with some strong wind gusts. Expect the mercury to fall to 8 degrees. Wind chills will range from 5 to 10 below zero.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with below normal temperatures. We will only see a high of 22. Winds will shift to the south at 5-8 mph around 4 p.m.
Saturday night: Increasing clouds with a low of 21 at midnight, with temperatures rising. Winds will come from the south-southwest at 8-11 mph.
Sunday: Overcast with showers arriving by 3 p.m. Showers becomes moderate rain between 5-7 p.m. It will be milder with a high of 43.
Sunday night: Rain, heavy at times. We will see a low of 37.
Martin Luther King Jr. Day: Rain dissipates to showers by 7 a.m. before all precipitation ends by 11 a.m. Partial sunshine expected during the afternoon. We will see a high of 40.
Monday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 22.
Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny with possible snow showers by the evening commute. Highs 31-34, lows 19-22.
Wednesday: Cloudy with widely scattered snow showers until 4 p.m. Highs 32-35, lows 21-24.
Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 31-34, lows 20-23.
Friday: Partly sunny. Highs 32-35, lows 24-27.