The latest CNN-ORC poll shows Hillary’s approval rating tanking. In November, 2014, Hillary’s approval-disapproval rating was 59% favorable, 38% unfavorable. In their latest polling, done May 29-31, Hillary’s approval-disapproval ratings had dropped to 46% favorable, 50% unfavorable. That’s stunning. If you’re a Clinton pollster or a DNC pollster, change stunning to frightening. That’s a 13 point drop in 6 months.
Unfortunately for Hillary, that isn’t the only bad news in the poll. When people were asked during the May 29-31 polling if Hillary “inspires confidence”, 49% said she does while 50% said she didn’t. That’s a dramatic drop from the March 7-9, 2014 polling. In that poll, 58% of people said Hillary inspired confidence compared with 42% who said she didn’t. On the subject of whether Hillary “cares about people like you”, 47% said she does in the May 29-31 polling, compared with 52% who said she doesn’t. Compare those numbers to the March 7-9,2014 polling, which showed 53% of people said Hillary cares about people like you and only 45% saying Hillary didn’t care about people like you.
Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey notes more trouble for Hillary:
The collapse on Hillary’s trustworthiness is a bigger problem among independents, where she has a 20-point negative, 36/56. Women again are diffident toward Hillary, 49/43. Even more concerning to Democrats, she only gets a 41/48 among voters under 40, a key element of the Obama turnout model in both elections. They give her a 47/47 overall on favorability, but that’s hardly a ringing endorsement, and certainly isn’t evidence of any enthusiasm.
The dirty little secret that nobody’s talking about is the enthusiasm gap between Hillary and top tier GOP candidates like Marco Rubio and Scott Walker. It’s worth noting that Jeb Bush is having ‘enthusiasm gap’ troubles of his own.
That indicates an anti-legacy movement afoot across the nation. At least initially, that indicates that President Obama was right when he said that voters in 2016 will want a candidate with a new car smell. If that’s true, it means Jeb Bush will have difficulty winning the nomination and that Hillary will have difficulty winning the general election.
At this point, it’s impossible to picture Hillary not winning the Democratic nomination because she’s essentially running against nobody. Martin O’Malley will have difficulty selling Maryland’s economic record. Bernie Sanders represents a fraction of the Elizabeth Warren wing of the Democratic Party. His fundraising operation is virtually nonexistent, which means doesn’t have a national organization.
At the end of the day, Hillary is facing a plethora of problems, including the fact that she isn’t getting anyone excited about her candidacy and the perception that she doesn’t “care about people like us.” The fact that she isn’t winning over key portions of the Obama coalition signals that she’s fighting an uphill fight.