After the disaster of the 24-20 Thursday night loss to the Oakland Raiders last week where very few Kansas City Chiefs had an impact, it’s time to put up or shut up for KC in real life and in fantasy.
If the Chiefs have any hope for winning the AFC West, they have to beat the Denver Broncos Sunday night. Their fantasy owners, like you, need good performances since in 95% of the fantasy leagues, this is the last week of the regular fantasy season.
Weather is expected to be chilly Sunday night, but not so bad that it will affect the game – unlike the semi-monsoon the Chiefs played in last week in Oakland.
Here is my best prediction at the fantasy prospects of the Chiefs this week:
QUARTERBACK: Alex Smith is a decent #2 guy this week as the Chiefs will probably have to throw the ball downfield more to open up running lanes for running back Jamaal Charles. Luckily, Smith gets wide receiver Donnie Avery back on the field and the recently-added Jason Avant is just decent enough to cause the defense to have to pay attention.
Denver is the fourth-worst team in the NFL in giving up points to fantasy quarterbacks, usually because the opposition gets behind that Bronco offense by two or three touchdowns by halftime, so quarterbacks have to throw. Smith isn’t built to have 300 yards and 4 TDs like Peyton Manning is, but Smith could easily get 285 total yards and 2 touchdowns.
RUNNING BACK: On the other hand, Denver is good against fantasy RBs because of the same reason they struggle against quarterbacks. If Denver jumps out to a big lead, opposing running backs tend to fade into the shadows in fantasy. But then again, nobody relies on their RB more than the Chiefs do with Jamaal Charles. Charles could be a fantasy stud with huge upside, but at worst, he’ll be a good low-end #1 fantasy back. Don’t be surprised to see 125 total yards and at least one TD from Charles.
Knile Davis only played 5 snaps against the Raiders last week after a light workload the week before too. In the last five games, he’s become an afterthought in the offense. In Week 2 this year, Charles left the game after the fourth play and never returned. Davis took over and nearly scored 30 fantasy points and led the Chiefs to a near-upset of the Broncos on the road. I can’t recommend starting Davis unless you are desperate, but the potential for a good game is there, at least.
Don’t start De’Anthony Thomas. Thomas, who looked like he was going to start taking a bigger role in the offense a few weeks ago, has let mental mistakes on offense and especially special teams cause him to fall into a little bit of a funk.
WIDE RECEIVERS: For two weeks, I thought Dwayne Bowe was going to break the Chiefs streak of not having a WR catch a TD pass since the Eisenhower Administration, but it didn’t happen. Having Donnie Avery back will help, but don’t start any Chiefs wide receiver.
TIGHT END: Travis Kelce is a definite starter for your fantasy team as Denver has been giving up big numbers to tight ends all year. Kelce had a great game out in Denver in Week 2 and should be poised for another good game on national TV Sunday night. Anthony Fasano is a reach as a starter and that’s only if you play in a TD-only league.
DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS: Nahhhhhhhh … just can’t even keep a straight face to fake like I’m going to recommend them.
KICKER: Cairo Santos is a low-end #2 fantasy kicker as the Chiefs probably won’t be settling for field goals too often.