The 2015 Kentucky Derby will be run on May 2, 2015 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. Here is a list of longshot horses from the 2015 Kentucky Derby who can spice up your exotic tickets this year and maybe make you a lot of money betting on the American classic in 2015.
It’s good to have longshot horses to use in the Kentucky Derby for exacta, trifecta, and superfecta bets to spice up the payouts should a longshot finish in the 1 to 4 slots. Even if the favorite in the race wins the 2015 Kentucky Derby, exacta, trifecta, and superfecta payouts can be good if longshots run in the 2 to 4 slots.
In 2013, betting favorite Orb won the race but when longshot Golden Soul ran second at 34.50 to 1 odds, he spiced up a $980 exacta, a $6,900 trifecta, and a $57,000 superfecta (all payouts for a $2 bet). In 2014, California Chrome won as favorite and only paid $7.00 to win, but when 37.80 to 1 longshot Commanding Curve ran second he spiced up a $340 exacta, a $3,400 trifecta, and a $15,000 superfecta.
So which longshot horses in the 2015 Kentucky Derby could run well? Based mainly upon layoff stats, I’ve listed six longshot horses who could all run well in the 2015 Kentucky Derby. There is no guarantee any of them will run well and this could be the most form filled Kentucky Derby in years with all the favorites running 1 to 4 and that’s why betting on the Kentucky Derby is a gamble.
Kentucky Derby longshots who could spice up your exotic tickets in 2015
- Firing Line – 12 to 1 odds
Dortmund is listed on the morning line odds at 3 to 1 while Firing Line is 12 to 1 for the 2015 Kentucky Derby. In both the Los Alamitos Futurity and the Robert B Lewis stakes Firing Line ran second to Dortmund losing by just a head both times.
Dortmund won the Santa Anita Derby impressively while Firing Line crushed the Sunland Derby field in their last preps for the 2015 Kentucky Derby. If you like Dortmund at 3 to 1 odds you should love Firing Line at 12 to 1 odds.
- International Star – 20 to 1
International Star has won all three races he has run this year off a layoff from last November. My stats show that horses who run well and win three races in a row off a layoff can and usually do run well one more time as long the race is within 45 days and International Star is 20 to 1 morning line odds.
- Far Right – 30 to 1
Far Right ran a good second to American Pharaoh in the Arkansas Derby beaten by eight lengths but coming from dead last to get second. The Kentucky Derby will be Far Right’s second race off a layoff and my stats show that horses that run well in their first start off a layoff can and do run well in their next race within 45 days and often as big longshots.
- Itsaknockout – 30 to 1
With the Pacquiao vs Mayweather fight happening later on Kentucky Derby day, Itsaknockout is a natural longshot to spice up the exotics but the horse also fits a good layoff pattern for longshots. Itsaknockout ran well in his first start off a layoff in the Fountain of Youth when he finished second but was placed first through disqualification.
Itsaknockout then did not run well in the Florida Derby, finishing fourth beaten by 21 lengths. My stats show longshots who run well first off layoff then run poorly in their second start off layoff will often come back and run well in their third start off a layoff which will be the Kentucky Derby for Itsaknockout.
- Bolo – 30 to 1
Bolo fits the same layoff pattern as Itsaknockout as he ran well in his first start off a layoff in the San Felipe then did not run as well in the Santa Anita Derby. Bolo was third in both races to Dortmund but his third in the Santa Anita Derby was clearly a drop off from his San Felipe race. Bolo could bounce back in his third start and run well in the 2015 Kentucky Derby at big odds.
- Ocho Ocho Ocho – 50 to 1
Ocho Ocho Ocho ran terribly in the San Felipe in his first start off a layoff. He then shipped to Kentucky and ran a much improved third in the Blue Grass. This horse could improve even more in his third start off a layoff in the 2015 Kentucky Derby at big 50 to 1 odds.
Good luck to all the bettors in the 2015 Kentucky Derby!
