Forecast discussion: We end the workweek with some sunshine, but the sunlight seemed ineffective. As of 3 p.m., the high temperature for the day was only 39. We should be around 45 or 46 degrees right now. The sunshine was due to a high pressure system moving just south of Rhode Island. As the high moves away, this will allow moisture from the south to move towards New England.
With temperatures near or below freezing, we will see some rain begin just before dawn. North of Providence, the air will be cold enough for the precipitation to change to freezing rain for a few hours. However, temperatures will warm up during mid-morning, and everyone will be rain for the remainder of the day.
As we head into Saturday night, there may be just enough cold air in the lower levels of the atmosphere to change the precipitation back to snow showers. But, as the low pulls away, there may be a lull before we see more precipitation. The models show a dry slot after 1 a.m. where there will be moisture in New York and western Massachusetts. But, it will take a weak disturbance to bring back some snow showers by Sunday afternoon. All precipitation ends around midnight, as a new high pressure ridge builds over Southern New England.
A quick moving cold front will bring the risk of more precipitation by Tuesday night. It may be cold enough to keep it as snow showers. But, due to the front moving quickly, any snow showers will end after midnight. We will then see a dry period into next Friday. The American model believes we could see some more showers on Friday morning. But, the other computer models keep the high pressure ridge over Southern New England. For now, I will keep us dry as we begin the spring season next week.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Mostly cloudy skies with some precipitation possible by 5 a.m. North of Providence will see freezing rain, while the rest of the state sees showers. I’m forecasting a low of 30.
Saturday: Any freezing rain becomes rain by 8 a.m. Rain may be moderate to heavy at times. We will see a high of 44 with winds shifting to the northwest at 6-9 mph by 3 p.m.
Saturday night: Rain showers may mix or change over to snow showers by 1 a.m. Precipitation may stop for a few hours. We will see a low of 33 with northwest winds of 3-6 mph.
Sunday: Overcast with precipitation returning as snow showers by 2 p.m. We will see a high of 39.
Sunday night: Snow showers end by midnight, with partial clearing. We will see a low of 25.
Monday: Mostly sunny until the early afternoon, with increasing clouds by 3 p.m. We will see a high of 43.
Monday night: Overcast skies with rain and snow showers arriving by 10 p.m. We will see a low of 32.
Tuesday: Rain/snow showers ending by noon. It will remain mostly cloudy and become windy, with the slight risk for more snow showers by 7 p.m. Highs 41-44, lows 24-27.
Wednesday: Any snow showers end by 1 a.m. Mostly sunny skies expected for the rest of the day. Highs 35-38, lows 21-24.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Highs 39-42, lows 23-26.
Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-41, lows 25-28.