Forecast discussion: A strong high pressure system passed just offshore of North Carolina Saturday afternoon. It provided Providence with some cold temperatures this morning, as the mercury fell to 20 degrees. We only reached 36 degrees for a high temperature. However, as we move through the overnight, that will change rather quickly.
The warm front is just moving into the Mid-Atlantic at the moment, but our temperatures will rise during the overnight. We will remain mostly cloudy on Sunday, but high temperatures will be in the lower 50’s. Sunday night’s low temperatures will be quite mild, as we will remain in the middle 40’s. We will have one more day of mild weather on Monday, before the cold front comes through Southern New England. There is the chance of some showers ahead of the cold front by Monday afternoon, but will end by early Monday evening.
High pressure will help clear our skies Monday evening, and with the cold front, our temperatures will once again fall into the middle 20’s. On Tuesday, we will be lucky if we reach freezing, as we experience the coldest dome of air for the week. As we head into Tuesday night, a frontal boundary over the Ohio River Valley will push up some moisture. We may see isolated snow showers or a wintry mix Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. However, a new warm front will raise temperatures, and our snow showers will become rain showers later in the morning. The precipitation will remain all day, and then may become a wintry mix or snow showers into the morning commute on Thursday.
We will see partial sunshine into Thursday, when another weak cold front may bring some rain showers by the evening commute Friday night. The precipitation will remain rain, and end by noon next Saturday. However, the different computer models are all giving a different scenario. So, for now, my confidence in the forecast after Thursday evening is low. Hopefully, the models will get a better handle on the situation by Tuesday or Wednesday.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy and not as cold as last night with a low of 30.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy and milder with a high of 53. Winds will come from the south-southwest at 11-14 mph.
Sunday night: Overcast with low of 45. Winds will come from the south-southwest at 7-10 mph.
Monday: Isolated showers begin by noon, but end by 7 p.m. Partly to mostly sunny skies expected for the morning. We will see a high of 54 with temperatures falling after 5 p.m.
Monday night: Partly cloudy and colder with a low of 26.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with increasing clouds before sunset. The high temperature will be much colder, as the mercury only reaches 33.
Tuesday night: Temperatures will be rising through the evening, with isolated snow showers. We will see a low of 30, then rising temperatures during the overnight. Isolated snow showers are possible by midnight.
Wednesday: A wintry mix becomes showers by 10 a.m. Highs 49-52, lows 36-39.
Thursday: Showers may end as wintry mix. All precipitation ends by 7 a.m. Partly sunny skies expected for the rest of the day. Highs 43-46, lows 31-34.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with isolated rain showers possible by 6 p.m. Highs 38-41, lows 32-35.
Saturday: Rain showers end by noon. Partial sunshine is possible before sunset. Highs 42-45, lows 24-27.