Forecast discussion: We received some sunshine early on Tuesday, thanks in part to a weak high pressure ridge. However, a fast moving low pressure system over the Northern Plains has quickly moved over the Mid-Atlantic by this afternoon. It is already bringing steady showers and light rain to Connecticut and Long Island. The low will move to the east-southeast, so we may see a sprinkle or two in Providence tonight. It will be the coastline and Block Island that will see the shower activity, and it may mix with some snow showers. The shower activity ends before the morning commute on Wednesday, and high pressure from Canada will provide us with mostly sunny skies.
Unfortunately, the temperatures are still below normal, and that is no April fool’s joke. We will keep the colder air until winds begin to turn to the southwest early Thursday morning. Another low pressure system down in northern Texas at the moment will work its way northeast. We will see another round of showers arrive late Thursday night, with scattered showers through Friday morning. We will see steadier precipitation by noon, as the cold front begins to enter Southern New England. Temperatures will be at their warmest for the year, with high temperatures expected to reach 60 degrees.
We can expect moderate rain by the time the front passes through Friday night into Saturday morning. Rain will taper to showers throughout the morning, and we will see increasing winds through the late morning. Our high temperature for the day will likely be during the morning, as colder air advances back over Rhode Island. We may even see a few sprinkles on Easter, but right now the models keep the precipitation over Northern New England. The computer models believe a new low pressure system will bring more precipitation on next Tuesday morning. However, some computer models do not believe there will be as much moisture with the front. Right now, my confidence is low after Monday’s forecast, due to the models giving me different scenarios for next Tuesday.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Cloudy with showers, especially along the coast and Block Island. There may be a passing snow shower as well. We will see a low of 30.
Wednesday: Coastal showers end by 6 a.m. Mostly sunny skies by the late morning with a high of 45. Winds will come from the northwest at 9-12 mph.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 27. Winds will come from the west at 3-6 mph.
Thursday: Sunshine in the morning gives way to cloudy skies by the mid-afternoon. We will see a high of 51.
Thursday night: Overcast with scattered showers arriving by 2 a.m. We will see a low of 43.
Friday: Scattered showers in the morning with steadier precipitation by the late morning. We will see a high of 60.
Friday night: Rain and patchy fog. We will see a low of 44.
Saturday: Rain with increasing winds by mid-morning. Precipitation ends by noon with partly sunny skies. Highs 48-51, lows 29-32.
Easter: Partly sunny with possible showers by 9 a.m. and last until 2 p.m. Highs 43-46, lows 30-33.
Monday: Scattered snow/rain showers end by 9 a.m. with partly to mostly sunny skies. Highs 45-48, lows 33-36.
Tuesday: Cloudy with rain arriving by the late morning. Highs 50-53, lows 31-34.