Forecast discussion: Well, another day, another day of gray weather, drizzle, and mist. Also, temperatures remained in the 40’s, as we did not see any partial clearing. In fact, patchy fog kept the cloud cover low in our atmosphere. Over the next 12 hours, we will see leftover showers around a cold front passing through Southern New England. Once the front moves offshore around 2 a.m., drier air begins to take over. High pressure over the central U.S. will bring us partial sunshine for Saturday.
However, it will not be a picture perfect day. As the high pressure ridge moves in, the low to our east will stall slightly. So, the pressure gradient will tighten, creating windy conditions by Saturday afternoon. Winds will diminish through Saturday night, as the high moves closer, and the low kicks out to the Canadian Maritimes. Sunday looks to be the best day of the weekend, and for this year. We can expect sunny skies, light winds, and temperatures in the lower 60’s. The good weather will continue into Monday afternoon, if you are heading to Fenway Park for the Boston Red Sox home opener.
A cold front will move its way towards New England by early Tuesday morning, bringing rain and some possible thunderstorms until 8 p.m. High pressure behind the front will bring dry conditions and mostly sunny skies for Wednesday. The high will give us dry weather on Thursday, but a stronger cold front will bring the first chance for some high rainfall before midnight. So, the Pawtucket Red Sox home opener Thursday evening looks good right now, and should get the game in before the inclement weather begins.
At this time, the computer models are disagreeing on the timing of the cold front. The European model pushes the front through faster, with us seeing heavy rain Thursday evening, with lingering showers during part of Friday morning. The American model pushes the front through faster. At this time, I will stay with the American model, since it has shown more consistency since yesterday afternoon’s model run.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Cloudy with scattered to widespread showers until 2 a.m. with partial clearing. Patchy fog is possible until 3 a.m. We will see a low of 45.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny skies and breezy with a high of 59. Winds will come from the west-northwest and increase to 15-18 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 38. Winds will diminish and come from the west-southwest a 6-9 mph.
Sunday: A day we have waited for all winter, with sunny skies and a high of 62.
Sunday night: Clear skies with a low of 43.
Monday: Mostly sunny in the morning, with increasing clouds in the afternoon. We will see a high of 64.
Monday night: Overcast with an isolated shower possible by 6 a.m. and a low of 48.
Tuesday: Rain and possible thunderstorms continue until 8 p.m. then clearing skies. Highs 64-67, lows 43-46.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 62-65, lows 42-45.
Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny with showers arriving by 11 p.m. Highs 59-62, lows 42-45.
Friday: Rain/thunderstorms. Rainfall may be heavy at times. Highs 57-60, lows 46-49.