Forecast discussion: Well, the sunshine did not last very long today, as cooler air in the upper levels of the atmosphere helped create the cloudy skies by 11:30 a.m. We remained under cloudy skies for the rest of the day. The current radar image shows ground clutter, with showers about 70 miles east of Cape Cod. We will remain under cloudy skies for the next few days.
The cloudy conditions are from a weak low pressure center near Newfoundland. The low will rotate back towards Southern New England over the next 36 hours, and also bringing back some scattered showers. We will see the showers by lunchtime on Monday, and persist into early Tuesday morning. The low will eventually move out to sea, so we will see some sunshine by Tuesday afternoon. A high pressure ridge coming down from central Canada will provide us with sunny skies and warm temperatures for Wednesday.
For the rest of the week, the models continue to be unsure about what to do with a low pressure system over northwest Texas. At the moment, this low is creating numerous tornadoes and severe thunderstorms. The low will move eastward and into the Southeast U.S. by Tuesday. Then, the low will track north and east. The American model brings the low up towards New England, giving us moderate to possibly heavy rain for Friday. The European model keeps it south of us, so we may see some isolated showers at best. Sadly, both models remain consistent with their forecasts over the last few days. For now, I will go with the worst case scenario, until I see one of the models change its forecast scenario. We are still four days away before the actual rainfall may occur.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a low of 41.
Monday: Cloudy with isolated showers by 1 p.m. We will see a high of 56 with north-northwest winds of 8-11 mph.
McCoy Stadium Forecast (6:15 p.m. vs. Syracuse): Cloudy, isolated showers, 53.
Monday night: Isolated to scattered showers with a low of 44. Winds will come from the north-northwest at 11-14 mph.
Tuesday: A widely isolated shower in the morning, especially along the Cape and Islands. Partly sunny skies expected by the early afternoon. We will see a high of 58.
Tuesday night: Clearing skies with a low of 43.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny with a high of 64.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with increasing clouds after midnight and a low of 46.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers after 12 p.m. Highs 60-63, lows 43-46.
Friday: Windy with periods of moderate to heavy rain. Highs 55-58, lows 41-44.
Saturday: Rain tapers to showers by the early morning, and ends by 7 a.m. Mostly sunny skies expected by the afternoon. Highs 58-61, lows 43-46.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 64-67, lows 45-48.